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[kswiston]

For the new page:

Friday Studio Estimates

1) Guardians of the Galaxy vol 2 - $16.4M - $199.6M total
2) King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $5.3M
3) Snatched - $5.0M
4) Fate of the Furious - $1.4M - $211M total
5) The Boss Baby - $965k - $159M total
6) Beauty and the Beast - $960k - $490M total

- GOTG2 is going to get a similar second weekend drop to Civil War and Age of Ultron
- King Arthur won't even hit $15M opening weekend

 

[Kusagari]

I wonder how much they spent on marketing alone for King Arthur.

I feel like I was seeing advertisements for it for 2 fucking years.

 

[kswiston]

King Arthur is about to make GitS look like a box office hit.

 

[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

There are a million possible embarrassing comparisons to make, but here's one: this iteration will open to less than the King Arthur film in 2004 (also a flop) despite that film having a Wednesday opening.

 

[Slayven]

For the new page:

Friday Studio Estimates

1) Guardians of the Galaxy vol 2 - $16.4M - $199.6M total
2) King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $5.3M
3) Snatched - $5.0M
4) Fate of the Furious - $1.4M - $211M total
5) The Boss Baby - $965k - $159M total
6) Beauty and the Beast - $960k - $490M total

- GOTG2 is going to get a similar second weekend drop to Civil War and Age of Ultron
- King Arthur won't even hit $15M opening weekend

Word of mouth must be strong on GOTG2

I wonder how much they spent on marketing alone for King Arthur.

I feel like I was seeing advertisements for it for 2 fucking years.

THey want to make 6 more of them, 6 more

 

[DeathyBoy]

Word of mouth must be strong on GOTG2

THey want to make 6 more of them, 6 more

Hey remember that Sherlock Holmes series...

 

[Slayven]

Hey remember that Sherlock Holmes series...

Didn't those actually do alright?

 

[DeathyBoy]

Didn't those actually do alright?

They did. Still waiting on third. Ritchie is easily distracted even if his films make a profit.

 

[Slayven]

They did. Still waiting on third. Ritchie is easily distracted even if his films make a profit.

Downey should be down for it, his non marvel work isn't exactly setting the world on fire.

 

[kswiston]

King Arthur only managed to make $6.8M overseas yesterday from nearly 20k screens. Including Wed/Thurs earnings, the worldwide total is only $17M.

The film has a few major openings left (including the UK and France), but overseas grosses are going to be pretty terrible as well.

This film is going to lose over $100M for WB.

 

[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

WB probably will force Guy Ritchie to do a project that will actually make them money, like Sherlock 3. I'm curious whether King Arthur bombing will have an impact on him directing Aladdin.

Re: Guardians 2. The problem with the last 3 MCU May openers has been then failing to stabilize after the 2nd weekend, in particular with regards to Civil War. If a similar fate happens for GotG, the runs for Avengers 3 and 4 will sure be predictable. Basically, these films are going to be getting 2.2-2.3 multipliers regardless of reception.

 

[FTF]

King Arthur is about to make GitS look like a box office hit.

Yeah, it's a bomb of pretty epic proportions. Budget and marketing probably combine for $250m, will finish around $35m domestically.

 

[kswiston]

Yeah, it's a bomb of pretty epic proportions. Budget and marketing probably combine for $250m, will finish around $35m domestically.

With a $175M production budget, $250M including P&A is probably being conservative.

 

[DeathyBoy]

With a $175M prosuction budget, $250M including P&A is probably being conservative.

King Arthur and the bomba in the stone

 

[cartographer]

When Trokil said Ant Man, he really meant King Arthur.

 

[Decado]

King Arthur and the bomba in the stone

Not sure what they are expecting. Hollywood has been trying to shovel bad to mediocre pg-13 historical epics and historical fantasy/action films down our throats since the proper historical epic died and 300 was a hit. It worked a grand total of once (maybe twice?).

Kids don't fucking care and adults don't want to watch shitty historical fiction targeted at 12 year olds.

 

[3N16MA]

King Arthur trying to bomb as big as possible and take the crown from the summer favourite, Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets.

 

[Dash_Riprock]

I knew King Arthur would flop, but to be this year's John Carter?

Goddamn.

 

[Freeza Under The Shower]

King Arthur is about to make GitS look like a box office hit.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY0WxgSXdEE

 

[Schlorgan]

When Trokil said Ant Man, he really meant King Arthur.

He tried to warn us and we didn't listen!

 

[Penguin]

Word of mouth must be strong on GOTG2

THey want to make 6 more of them, 6 more

Wait, strong WOM?

Isn't that a pretty solid second weekend drop?

 

[ezekial45]

They seriously wanted to make King Arthur into a franchise? Yeesh.

 

[pestul]

Wtf @ the King Arthur budget / bomb.

I'm most worried about the $200M given to Denis Villeneuve for Blade Runner 2049 and what impact it might have on the budget of his Dune movie. Alcon Entertainment be just burning stacks of cash on films (ie. Point Break). I fear that Blade Runner will be a critical hit and fan favourite, yet still lose a fair bit of money. Heck it's gonna need probably $500M WW to break even unless there's some more creative hollywood accounting going on. I think $400M WW might be a stretch for such a niche genre. Dune needed to have the larger budget. :/

 

[BronsonLee]

BRING ME SHERLOCK 3

 

[Toa TAK]

BRING ME SHERLOCK 3

Please God

No

 

[kswiston]

Wait. Blade Runner 2049 is a $200M production?

 

[Culex]

So when a studio has losses approaching 100 million, where does that money come from? Is it like one big Ponzi scheme where they keep borrowing for the next film to pay off the losses of the last?

 

[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

Wait. Blade Runner 2049 is a $200M production?

Jeff Sneider mentioned that a couple days after CinemaCon.

 

[Sibersk Esto]

Wait. Blade Runner 2049 is a $200M production?

Old rumor from Jeff Sneider of The Wrap. Villeneuve also said it's one of the most expensive R-Rated independent films ever.

 

[kswiston]

Old rumor from Jeff Sneider of The Wrap. Villeneuve also said it's one of the most expensive R-Rated independent films ever.

He wouldn't have to use an "independent film" modifier. The list of $200M R-rated films is damn small. In fact, I can't think of any that officially carries that price tag. Terminator 3 was close.

 

[GAMEPROFF]

Old rumor from Jeff Sneider of The Wrap. Villeneuve also said it's one of the most expensive R-Rated independent films ever.

"Independent"

 

[NealMcCauley]

Ouch.

At this point, I think as low as $13 million is not out of the question, if suffers a Friday to Sunday collapse due to WoM.

I though this was a little too pessismistic last night, but now I think that might be optimistic.

IIRC Sherlock 3 is/was being held up by WB and Joel Silver's falling out.

 

[kswiston]

Fate of the Furious is heading towards a $220-225M finish domestically.

Fast Five ended with $209M and Fast 6 with $238M, so basically right in the middle of those two.

 

[pestul]

Wait. Blade Runner 2049 is a $200M production?

Honestly, I really think it's Alcon and burning cash. Maybe another production studio could have pulled off his vision for $120M or less.

 

[BronsonLee]

He wouldn't have to use an "independent film" modifier. The list of $200M R-rated films is damn small. In fact, I can't think of any that officially carries that price tag. Terminator 3 was close.

Fury Road if they didn't fudge the numbers

 

[Heshinsi]

King Arthur is about to make GitS look like a box office hit.

I can easily see this thing saved by the overseas market.

 

[kswiston]

I can easily see this thing saved by the overseas market.

It will not be. Friday overseas was less than $7M from 51 markets, including China.

King Arthur needed at least $350M worldwide to be "saved". I can't see it doing half of that.

 

[mreddie]

xaoslug is gonna botch the OT

Basically, Come at the (REAL) King, Best Not Miss.

 

[DMczaf]

The world demands more Charlie Hunnam.

 

[mjc]

Valerian is gonna make somewhere around $2bil. BELIEVE ME.

 

[AndersK]

I don't trust movies starring Cara Delevigne, and neither should you.

Spoiler

prove me wrong, pls

 

[jett]

Holy shit at King Arthur. Gonna make even less money than the previous Arthur bomba that was released 13 years ago.

 

[MHWilliams]

Wonder if Disney pulls Aladdin from Ritchie after that bomb.

 

[jett]

Wait. Blade Runner 2049 is a $200M production?

There is no way I would believe that. 100M tops.

 

[Ridley327]

Valerian is gonna make somewhere around $2. BELIEVE ME.

Fixed for reality.

I have no idea how schlock artists like Besson and Rodriguez are getting the budgets for these films.

 

[Heshinsi]

It will not be. Friday overseas was less than $7M from 51 markets, including China.

King Arthur needed at least $350M worldwide to be "saved". I can't see it doing half of that.

Wow. In a world where Underworld and Resident Evil made it due to the international market, I was expecting King Arthur to just barely squeak through. I hope this doesn't bode bad for Aladdin

 

[Kusagari]

I actually would bet on Valerian making more than King Arthur after seeing these grosses.

 

[Ridley327]

Wow. In a world where Underworld and Resident Evil made it due to the international market, I was expecting King Arthur to just barely squeak through. I hope this doesn't bode bad for Aladdin

The film is going to get made no matter what. Whether it gets made with Guy Ritchie at the helm is the question.

 

[jett]

Fixed for reality.

I have no idea how schlock artists like Besson and Rodriguez are getting the budgets for these films.

Well Besson's last piece of shit made 463M on a 40M budget.

Rodriguez getting a 200M budget is inexplicable.

 

[DMczaf]

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/people/chart/?view=Director&id=robertrodriguez.htm

How does this mother fucker get ANY budget?!