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New PPP Polls: Clinton winning WI, NH, PA, OH, IA, losing AZ

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W

whyamihere

Banned
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls

Toplines for now, full crosstabs should be out tomorrow.

Wisconsin GE:

Clinton 47% (+8)
Trump 39%

New Hampshire GE:

Clinton 43% (+4)
Trump 39%

Pennsylvania General Election:

Clinton 46% (+4)
Trump 42%

Ohio General Election:

Clinton 44% (+4)
Trump 40%

Arizona General Election:

Trump 44% (+4)
Clinton 40%

Senate Races:

Wisconsin Senate - GE:

Feingold (D) 50% (+13)
Johnson (R) 37%

New Hampshire Senate - GE:

Hassan (D) 44% (+2)
Ayotte (R) 42%

Ohio Senate - GE:

Portman (R) 40% (+1)
Strickland (D) 39%

Pennsylvania Senate - GE

Toomey (R) 40% (+1)
McGinty (D) 39%

Arizona Senate - GE:

McCain (R) 42% (+2)
Kirkpatrick (D) 40%

Iowa Senate - GE:

Grassley (R) 46% (+7)
Judge (D) 39%

The last PPP polls before this had:

PA (6/3-6/5): Clinton +1 (+3 swing to Clinton)
OH (4/26-4/27) Clinton +3 (+1 swing to Clinton)
NH (1/4-1/6) Clinton +14 (-10 swing to Clinton, but they also had a poll in December with her up by 6 so idk)
IA (1/8-1/10) Tie (+2 swing to Clinton)
WI -- No data
AZ -- (5/13-5/15) Trump +4 (No swing)
 
A

Aaron Strife

Banned
tumblr_ls93h7uH3s1qafrh6.gif
 
F

Future

Member
Everything being so contested will just ensure there are even more bullshit shenanigans to try to make it hard for certain people to vote
 
B

Bigfoot

Member
Do we really need a new thread for every Clinton vs Trump poll? It seems like one pops up at least twice a week.

Could there be a poll mega thread or something?
 
E

eBay Huckster

Member
Bigfoot said:
Do we really need a new thread for every Clinton vs Trump poll? It seems like one pops up at least twice a week.
Click to expand...

Did we really need a new thread for every Sanders vs Clinton poll? Or the two polls in May that had Trump up by 2 points because 1) Sanders supporters were throwing shit fits on the phone and 2) lol Rasmussen?

Because at least these threads are about things of actual consequence!

(like i don't know the Senate flipping and AZ going blue)
 
C

CrimsonCrescendo

Banned
Legit question: What are the chances the RNC simply drops Trump? Because almost every single poll coming out is disastrous for him and if they are the least bit accurate, Clinton is taking 300+ electoral votes with several states gaining Democrat seats. Is that not a possibility?
 
S

Slayven

Member
Could you imagine if Trump was running against Obama?

CrimsonCrescendo said:
Legit question: What are the chances the RNC simply drops Trump? Because almost every single poll coming out is disastrous for him and if they are the least bit accurate, Clinton is taking 300+ electoral votes with several states gaining Democrat seats. Is that not a possibility?
Click to expand...
ALmost none, unless he really really fucks up. The 3 biggest GOP leaders have publicly endorsed him and kissed the ring.
 
W

whyamihere

Banned
CrimsonCrescendo said:
Legit question: What are the chances the RNC simply drops Trump? Because almost every single poll coming out is disastrous for him and if they are the least bit accurate, Clinton is taking 300+ electoral votes with several states gaining Democrat seats. Is that not a possibility?
Click to expand...

Increasingly unlikely as this point, given that the RNC has been trying to quell any disagreement within its delegate ranks. It's not going to happen.
 
4

4Tran

Member
CrimsonCrescendo said:
Legit question: What are the chances the RNC simply drops Trump? Because almost every single poll coming out is disastrous for him and if they are the least bit accurate, Clinton is taking 300+ electoral votes with several states gaining Democrat seats. Is that not a possibility?
Click to expand...
It's not impossible, but there are a couple of major drawbacks. The first is that the RNC doesn't have anyone lined up that is guaranteed to perform better than Trump. The second is that Trump won the nomination by a fair margin, so the RNC would be telling their base that their votes and opinions in the nomination race don't count. The latter could end up wrecking the party, so it's going to require something more serious than throwing an election for them to resort to that.
 
B

Box of Kittens

Banned
CrimsonCrescendo said:
Legit question: What are the chances the RNC simply drops Trump? Because almost every single poll coming out is disastrous for him and if they are the least bit accurate, Clinton is taking 300+ electoral votes with several states gaining Democrat seats. Is that not a possibility?
Click to expand...

Honestly, I think there are too many obstacles in the way for them to successfully pull the trigger. They'd need to unite around a candidate, which they couldn't do in the primary. They'd need a majority of delegates who (a) aren't loyal to Trump and (b) not afraid of overturning the results of the primary. I just don't see them pulling it off.
 
D

DorkLord54

Member
But guys, he's totally winning the Rust Belt despite that being nearly impossible due to the demographics of most of those states!
 
H

harSon

Banned
CrimsonCrescendo said:
Legit question: What are the chances the RNC simply drops Trump? Because almost every single poll coming out is disastrous for him and if they are the least bit accurate, Clinton is taking 300+ electoral votes with several states gaining Democrat seats. Is that not a possibility?
Click to expand...

They're going to lose either way. It's easier for them to lose with Trump at the helm, and throw his ass under the bus, then to splinter the party for years to come by disenfranchising your own party's votes by overruling the will of the people.
 
H

Hickbilly Deluxe

Banned
Bigfoot said:
Do we really need a new thread for every Clinton vs Trump poll? It seems like one pops up at least twice a week.

Could there be a poll mega thread or something?
Click to expand...

Yes, please. I for one would love to see one massive thread for news, so OT isnt plagued with them. I am already burned out on election news, and have hit the point where the radio and TV will be turned off till december aside from football and cartoons.
 
B

Brinbe

Member
Not surprised that it's close considering the demographics in all those states. 4 pts is still a good lead though.
 
H

HylianTom

Banned
Something to remember:
Trump is foregoing data and GOTV operations, while Hillary has inherited most of Obama's amazing machinery from 2012. That's worth a point or two in most states. That's huge.
 
C

Camwi

Member
Wisconsin Senate - GE:

Feingold (D) 50% (+13)
Johnson (R) 37%
Click to expand...

That's beautiful. I still can't believe idiots voted out one of the best Senators in the country and voted in someone who has done absolute shit for the state.
 
E

Erevador

Member
With these kinds of numbers already, and the fact that Trump is broke and Clinton's campaign is so flush with cash...

This is going to be a bloodbath.
 
GutsOfThor

GutsOfThor

Member
Slayven said:
Could you imagine if Trump was running against Obama?


ALmost none, unless he really really fucks up. The 3 biggest GOP leaders have publicly endorsed him and kissed the ring.
Click to expand...

I would have loved that! Nothing in politics is certain but Obama slaughtering trump would have been 100% guaranteed.
 
ebullientprism

ebullientprism

Member
Too close. Almost all of them.

People should be worried. Instead most Clinton supporters here think they are gonna breeze through.

You guys need to take a long hard look at Brexit.
 
B

Box of Kittens

Banned
HylianTom said:
Something to remember:
Trump is foregoing data and GOTV operations, while Hillary has inherited most of Obama's amazing machinery from 2012. That's worth a point or two in most states. That's huge.
Click to expand...

Forget the "Trump is a Clinton plant to throw the election" theory. I'm endorsing the theory that he's a plant by political scientists to get a control for measuring the effects of campaigns.

Eidan said:
This is still a thing?
Click to expand...

The UnskewedPolls website that adjusted polls to have more Republicans is long gone. But I've seen several instances of Republicans this cycle complaining that polls are oversampling Democrats.
 
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