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Wkd BO 03•25-27•16 - Batman vs Superman (or Grindr hookup gone sideways) bests Bunny

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kswiston

Member
Deadpool is not like every superhero film though. Much less spectacle, more character driven, and a heavy reliance on western humor and pop culture understanding. While in several markets that obviously worked in its favor, I think it would work in its detriment in China. Plus China doesn't have decades of superhero films dominating pop culture allowing for Deadpool to act as a strong and timely parody of/foil to the standardized superhero template.

Here is Deadpool vs Guardians and Ant-Man in the 4 territories whose tastes align closest with China's.

Code:
		Deadpool	Ant-man		Guardians of the Galaxy

South Korea	$23.7M		$20.7M		$10.0M
Singapore	$4.5M		$4.5M		$4.7M
Taiwan		$12.5M		$11.1M		??
Hong Kong	$8.0M		$7.0M		$3.3M
---------------------------------------------------------
China		:(		$105M		$96M

Basically, I disagree with you.
 

3N16MA

Banned
If BvS fails to reach 1B then WB should be worried about JL not being able to hit that mark. I don't see how adding Flash and Cyborg gives that film a major boost over BvS if the reception with critics is the same. It's a quick turnaround from BvS to JL and many people who didn't like BvS are not going to be jumping to see JL.
 
If BvS fails to reach 1B then WB should be worried about JL not being able to hit that mark. I don't see how adding Flash and Cyborg gives that film a major boost over BvS if the reception with critics is the same. It's a quick turnaround from BvS to JL and many people who didn't like BvS are not going to be jumping to see JL.
And unless some miracle happens and the movie comes out absolutely amazing, the critics will probably be even more savage since the cast has been all, "We don't make films for critics."
 
And unless some miracle happens and the movie comes out absolutely amazing, the critics will probably be even more savage since the cast has been all, "We don't make films for critics."

That was such a huge mistake. They should have just said that they felt critics didn't appreciate it but whatever different strokes
 
If BvS fails to reach 1B then WB should be worried about JL not being able to hit that mark. I don't see how adding Flash and Cyborg give that film a major boost over BvS if the reception with critics is the same. It's a quick turnaround from BvS to JL and many people who didn't like BvS are not going to be jumping to see JL.

Regardless of name, realistically BvS is their real "Avengers" equivalent (first time collecting the heroes on-screen, lots of hero v hero action, etc.), so it should have been a bigger even than any "real" Justice League follow-up, as inky said on the previous page. Unless Justice League looks amazing, I can't possibly see it even reaching BvS, especially with the people's overall opinion on the DCCU so far being decidedly mixed. And seeing how Snyder doubled down on everything he has already been criticized for, doesn't really understand people's complaints, and is seemingly outright resentful of the criticism, I don't see him doing anything that will change people's opinions en masse.
 

3N16MA

Banned
And unless some miracle happens and the movie comes out absolutely amazing, the critics will probably be even more savage since the cast has been all, "We don't make films for critics."

WB better hope that SS and Wonder Woman garner positive reviews and do well at the BO. Gives them some positive news and helps the DCEU moving forward.
 

Dead

well not really...yet
Wonder Woman has to hit, for one, to build hype towards Justice League, and two, I think it would be embarrassing if WW as the first truly big solo female super hero movie is a failure and then Marvel releases a movie about some random nobody and does much better.
 

guek

Banned
WB better hope that SS and Wonder Woman garner positive reviews and do well at the BO. Gives them some positive news and helps the DCEU moving forward.

SS might be great but I have a hard time imagining WW being better than a middle of the pack MCU flick. I'm thinking Cap 1 tier, which would be pretty good but wont set the world on fire. It'll probably do better at the BO though, maybe match Ant-Man worldwide.
 
. I'm thinking Cap 1 tier, which would be pretty good but wont set the world on fire.

A Wonder Woman movie on the quality level of The First Avenger would be, easily, the best DC related feature film since 2008.

Wonder Woman at that quality level will likely do a lot more money than Captain America did. Especially since her character is one of the only things escaping the BvS conflagration relatively unharmed.

Rth on BOT says $8.5M for Wednesday. About a 30% drop. Based off of that number, definitely don't see it doing better than $55M for the weekend.

This 2nd weekend is going to be a bit of a motherfucker for WB, isn't it.
 

3N16MA

Banned
That WED puts it slightly under Deadpool's first WED and is also a bigger drop. On par with Furious 7 (almost the dame drop)
 

guek

Banned
A Wonder Woman movie on the quality level of The First Avenger would be, easily, the best DC related feature film since 2008.

Wonder Woman at that quality level will likely do a lot more money than Captain America did. Especially since her character is one of the only things escaping the BvS conflagration relatively unharmed.

No doubt. Am I being overly optimistic then? I dunno, maybe it's just the lack of Snyder behind the lens :p
 
Rounding up & down to the nearest half mil:

70% drop = 50 mil
69% drop = 51.5mil
68% drop = 53mil
67% drop = 55mil (what's being predicted currently)
66% drop = 56.5mil
65% drop = 58mil
64% drop = 60mil

Basically, we're looking at a scenario where a 64% drop weekend-to-weekend is WB breathing a sigh of relief. Which is kinda fucked.

Remember, there is nothing of note opening this weekend, either. Gods Not Dead 2 and Everybody Wants Some might do pretty decently, but they're not seen as competition. Furious 7 last year dropped 59.5%.

lol TDKR is a better film than The First Avenger, and it's not even close.

Stay wrong, buddy.
 

3N16MA

Banned
Deadpool potentially out grossing BvS on the domestic front and Ant-Man out grossing it in China.

Never would have thought that was even a possibility.
 
A well-written Rated R Deadpool movie outgrossing a poorly-written PG-13 Batman vs Superman movie would be one of the best things to happen to the superhero genre, if not Hollywood in a while.

I'm not using the age restrictions as an advocacy for more R movies (though that wouldn't be the worst thing)... more to even further hammer home how many obstacles Deadpool would have had to overcome to achieve what it's done.
 

lupinko

Member
Deadpool is not like every superhero film though. Much less spectacle, more character driven, and a heavy reliance on western humor and pop culture understanding. While in several markets that obviously worked in its favor, I think it would work in its detriment in China. Plus China doesn't have decades of superhero films dominating pop culture allowing for Deadpool to act as a strong and timely parody of/foil to the standardized superhero template.

Deadpool would do just fine in China.

He's a funnier and more violent Spider-Man with swords, guns and martial arts.

Deadpool's only hurdle is the Chinese Censorship board.
 
A Wonder Woman movie on the quality level of The First Avenger would be, easily, the best DC related feature film since 2008.

Wonder Woman at that quality level will likely do a lot more money than Captain America did. Especially since her character is one of the only things escaping the BvS conflagration relatively unharmed.

Dumb query, anybody wonder how the World War I setting could influence Wonder Woman's numbers? Bizarre to set it around a war not many know or care about, in my encounters.
 

guek

Banned
Rewatched First Avenger a few days ago. Still great.

I realized though that it wasn't the montage that ruined the flow of the movie, it was the train hijacking. The montage is actually pretty well put together. The hijack scene...not so much. Shoddy CG and really boring shots with music that is much more exciting than what's on screen.

The Zola interrogation scene right afterwards though is marvelous.
 
Hell of an argument you just made, buddy. Thanks for letting me know I shouldn't even bother taking the time to quote you in the future though.
But you didn't make any more of an argument than he or I did.
Rewatched First Avenger a few days ago. Still great.

I realized though that it wasn't the montage that ruined the flow of the movie, it was the train hijacking. The montage is actually pretty well put together. The hijack scene...not so much. Shoddy CG and really boring shots with music that is much more exciting than what's on screen.

The Zola interrogation scene right afterwards though is marvelous.
"What is that?"
"Steak."
"What's in it?"
"Cow."
 
Hell of an argument you just made, buddy. Thanks for letting me know I shouldn't even bother taking the time to quote you in the future though.

The fuck are you talking about? it's not like you trotted out a particularly winning thesis supported by all sorts of well-reasoned, thoughtful points or anything. You burped up some glib bullshit and I responded in kind.

I mean, if you're gonna catch feelings over being told you're wrong on the internet lemme know and I'll pull the bumpers out from the gutter. Otherwise I'll just mark it zero and we'll move it along. I thought you were just fucking around. Which makes sense, doesn't it? The idea that you'd just be fucking around and not taking something like "stay wrong" so seriously?

It's just movies & bullshit.
 

guek

Banned
"What is that?"
"Steak."
"What's in it?"
"Cow."

"Schmidt believes he walks in the footsteps of the gods. Only the world itself will satisfy him."
"You do realize that's nuts, don't you?"
"The sanity of the plan is of no consequence."
"And why is that?"
"Because he can do it!"

Zola's delivery of that last line is so damn good
 
I don't remember any of what you guys are posting. My memory of The First Avenger is complete shit at this point.

Time for a rewatch!

it works better on repeat viewings. I think knowing that the montage is coming instead of being surprised/disappointed by it lets it play a little better. Unless you weren't ever disappointed by it (I wasn't) in which case it's just a bunch of fun.

Imagine if Wonder Woman, Flash, Suicide Squad, Aquaman, Batman end up being incredible.

I really do wonder if the plan for Justice League is to somehow make Superman the bad guy. It seems sort of Snyder-ish , to basically turn Superman into Darth Vader, and have Justice League II be his redemption.
 
Man, if BvS is having drops like that this week when a lot of the country is having their spring break, WB must be dreading next week's numbers when everyone is back in school.

Imagine it's 2008 again, Iron Man just did a solid but not phenomenal $585mil, then TDK came out to universal acclaim and became the 4th movie ever to gross a bil. Everyone would call you crazy if you predicted that by 2016, a solo Iron Man movie would outgross a movie featuring Batman, Superman, AND Wonder Woman by a huge margin.

DC needs a fuckin' plan, before cameras roll on JL.
 

Anth0ny

Member
Dark Knight Rises shits on Cap 1. and I really like Cap 1. damn neogaf, back at it again with the baffling DKR hate.

DKR vs Winter Soldier is a much closer battle.
 

BLACKLAC

Member
Hell of an argument you just made, buddy. Thanks for letting me know I shouldn't even bother taking the time to quote you in the future though.

Ignoring the fact that Cap 1 is obviously better than TDKR, out of all the problems with TDKR (and there are many) it did the unforgivable job of butchering not only the title character but the ending of TDK. You do you tho.
 
damn neogaf, back at it again with the baffling DKR hate.

It has nothing to do with "hating" Rises, but just appreciating Captain America more.

I can still like Rises. And I do. I just think Captain America is a better movie in most respects. Certainly more rewatchable.
 

G-Fex

Member
Time for a rewatch!

it works better on repeat viewings. I think knowing that the montage is coming instead of being surprised/disappointed by it lets it play a little better. Unless you weren't ever disappointed by it (I wasn't) in which case it's just a bunch of fun.



I really do wonder if the plan for Justice League is to somehow make Superman the bad guy. It seems sort of Snyder-ish , to basically turn Superman into Darth Vader, and have Justice League II be his redemption.

Ugh I wouldn't put it past them now
 

guek

Banned
I really do wonder if the plan for Justice League is to somehow make Superman the bad guy. It seems sort of Snyder-ish , to basically turn Superman into Darth Vader, and have Justice League II be his redemption.
No way Snyder doesn't have a mind controlled Clark knocking buildings down again. Count on it.
 
I should rewatch CA one of these days. I mean to!... But that allure of the Winter Solider blu-ray is just too strong whenever I sit down to give it another go, and I just end up popping that one in. Such a damn good movie, and its between it and IM1 for my favorite Marvel film. I'd probably give it to Winter Soldier if someone put a gun to my since I find the last act much stronger.
 

guek

Banned
I should rewatch CA one of these days. I mean to!... But that allure of the Winter Solider blu-ray is just too strong whenever I sit down to give it another go, and I just end up popping that one in. Such a damn good movie, and its between it and IM1 for my favorite Marvel film. I'd probably give it to Winter Soldier if someone put a gun to my since I find the last act much stronger.

I'm always really confused when people bash the last act of Winter Soldier. I can understand wishing it was more low key and personal like the rest of the movie but that doesn't make what we actually got less well made.
 
If people want a shining example of an otherwise excellent superhero movie that falls apart in the final act, look no further than The Wolverine. One of the best X-Flicks to date, right up until the last 15 or so minutes.
 

ryan299

Member
DC needs a fuckin' plan, before cameras roll on JL.

Some are speculating that Terrio's comments about JL being lighter in tone a few weeks ago was a signal that WB realized what they had with BvS and made changes long ago.

I don't really buy that, but at the same time I can't conceive them not knowing about the movies problems through testing and not making changes.
 

guek

Banned
If people want a shining example of an otherwise excellent superhero movie that falls apart in the final act, look no further than The Wolverine. One of the best X-Flicks to date, right up until the last 15 or so minutes.

Watch the director's cut! The final act is still bad but markedly less terrible. The assault up the mountain in particular is much better in the director's cut. Plus you get to see ninjas go through a wood chipper.
 
I'm always really confused when people bash the last act of Winter Soldier. I can understand wishing it was more low key and personal like the rest of the movie but that doesn't make what we actually got less well made.
Oh, it's definitely because it follows the same template of "big stuff goes boom" that every Marvel film has followed since Iron Man 2. I think it's a legitimate complaint, but Winter Soldier at least throws in gravitas with the interactions between Steve and Bucky. Also, everything surrounding that encounter is better done than anything in, say, Thor 2.
 
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