Some reasons I can think of.Why people think this year the PS3's growth from Nov to Dec will not be as much as it was last year? and at the same time they think 360's growth will be more?
Some reasons I can think of.
1. PS3 had the popular BF bundle that sold out this year and was likely the main cog in the November sales. Not many price promotions in December.
2. 360 had shortages last December so the full on Kinect hype was unrealized. They also had a ton of December price promotions this year(gift cards in every major retailer).
3. 360/Kinect was the must have holiday gift based on various factors including women pepper spraying the crowd to get a deal on the 360 during Black Friday. That type of hysteria has been previously attributed to must have Christmas gifts like Beanie Babies and Tickle Me Elmo.
4. PS3's Dec growth last year was primarily due to the incredibly lackluster Nov sales, not due to some kind of Nov-Dec growth pattern.
5. NPD predictions threads are mainly made of people's guesses that are similar to throwing darts at the wall and aren't a bunch of thoughtful, educated guesses.
6. Tebow!
Let's dive :
[360] 2200K
[3DS] 1600K
[WII] 1200K
[PS3] 1400K
[NDS] 350K
No PSP makes me a sad panda :-(
Psp numbers haven't been included in npd numbers for aaaages.
PSVita going to be the same?
Hey how you doing?
I believe Gamestop will be releasing holiday sales numbers tomorrow morning. Doubtful there will be any specific unit numbers but should give a decent idea on how things were compared to previous years.
Seems Wii didnt do too well.
I edited my original prediction, by downcasting my 3DS from 1900k to 1700k.[360] 2200k
[3DS] 1700k
[NDS] 800k
[PS3] 1100k
[WII] 900k
I edited my original prediction, by downcasting my 3DS from 1900k to 1700k.
Hope that's okay!
Pachter says:
PS3 = 1700K
WII = 1100K
EEDAR says:
PS3 = 1350K
WII = 1700K
I'm fairly sure I've transcribed correctly. I'll double check.Quite different predictions there, did one of them get it the wrong way round by mistake?
Pachter says:
360 = 2350K
PS3 = 1700K
3DS = 1625K
WII = 1100K
PSP = 325K
NDS = 275K
PS2 = 30K
EEDAR says:
360 = 2400K
WII = 1700K
3DS = 1650K
PS3 = 1350K
NDS = 650K
PSP = 375K
Pachter says:
360 = 2350K
PS3 = 1700K
3DS = 1625K
WII = 1100K
PSP = 325K
NDS = 275K
PS2 = 30K
EEDAR says:
360 = 2400K
WII = 1700K
3DS = 1650K
PS3 = 1350K
NDS = 650K
PSP = 375K
Pity that we wont get any PSP numbers. If these predictions for PSP are how much the PSP actually sells, then that is a lot more than what i thought it would be (i was thinking maybe like 100k).Pachter says:
360 = 2350K
PS3 = 1700K
3DS = 1625K
WII = 1100K
PSP = 325K
NDS = 275K
PS2 = 30K
EEDAR says:
360 = 2400K
WII = 1700K
3DS = 1650K
PS3 = 1350K
NDS = 650K
PSP = 375K
Pachter says:
360 = 2350K
PS3 = 1700K
3DS = 1625K
WII = 1100K
PSP = 325K
NDS = 275K
PS2 = 30K
EEDAR says:
360 = 2400K
WII = 1700K
3DS = 1650K
PS3 = 1350K
NDS = 650K
PSP = 375K
I have PSP at just over a million for the year to date, not counting December.Pity that we wont get any PSP numbers. If these predictions for PSP are how much the PSP actually sells, then that is a lot more than what i thought it would be (i was thinking maybe like 100k).
If the shipment and sales numbers we got from sony and MS are true i don't see how Pachters predictions could be true.
NeoGAF Aggregate December 2011 Predictions
1. 360 - 2.38m
2. 3DS - 1.56m
3. PS3 - 1.36m
4. WII - 1.19m
5. NDS - 399K