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Official June 2007 NPD Prediction Thread

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WildArms

Best game ever, shame about the sequels
[NDS] 403,765
[WII] 359,486
[PSP] 278,912
[PS2] 167,865
[360] 163,657
[PS3] 102,837
[GBA] 78,554
[NGC] 8,617
 

Borys

Banned
[NDS] 360,000
[WII] 315,000
[PSP] 190,000
[PS2] 160,000
[360] 120,000
[PS3] 90,000
[GBA] 80,000
[NGC] 4,000
[XBX] 1,000
 

kottila

Member
[NDS] 390,000
[WII] 290,000
[PSP] 230,000
[PS2] 150,000
[360] 145,000
[PS3] 110,000
[GBA] 77,000
[NGC] 6,000
[XBX] 2,000
 

Xzbeat

Member
[NDS] 400,000
[WII] 320,000
[PS2] 190,000
[PSP] 180,000
[360] 170,000
[GBA] 85,000
[PS3] 80,000
[NGC] 11,000
 

Taurus

Member
[NDS] 485,000
[WII] 405,000
[PSP] 245,000
[PS2] 215,000
[360] 205,000
[PS3] 91,000
[GBA] 89,000
[NGC] 11,000
 

donny2112

Member
Alkaliine said:
For fun, here's some software guesses:

WII Play w/Remote 243k
WII Mario Party 8 213K
WII Resident Evil 4: Wii Edition 184K
NDS Pokemon Diamond 214K
WII Pokemon Battle Revolution 137K
360 Forza 2 159K
NDS Pokemon Pearl 163K
360 Guitar Hero 2 w/Guitar 111K
PS2 Tomb Raider: Anniversary 143K
WII Big Brain Academy: Wii Degree 103K
PS3 Ninja Gaiden Sigma 92k

You're going to want to put those into "quote" tags in your post. Otherwise, the parser may interpret them as hardware guesses.

MasterMFauli said:
And please dont forget me. You forget to count me in in the last prediction-topic :-/

Did you predict too late?

Edit:
You were counted last month. You finished #171 being off by 268,601.
 
donny2112 said:
You're going to want to put those into "quote" tags in your post. Otherwise, the parser may interpret them as hardware guesses.



Did you predict too late?
I thought the parser only includes anything that proceeds right after [hardware name here]?

justjohn said:
btw sigma was released in july so it wont appear this month

It will. The NPD reporting period ended on the 7th, and Sigma shipped on the 3rd.
 

hadareud

The Translator
[NDS] 395,000
[WII] 315,000
[PSP] 210,000
[PS2] 175,000
[360] 150,000
[PS3] 77,000
[GBA] 78,000
[NGC] 8,000
 

Jocchan

Ὁ μεμβερος -ου
[NDS] 420k
[WII] 360k
[PS2] 175k
[PSP] 230k
[360] 173k
[GBA] 85k
[PS3] 91k
[NGC] 8k

First time I try a prediction.
 

donny2112

Member
titiklabingapat said:
I thought the parser only includes anything that proceeds right after [hardware name here]?

Cheesemeister would be the definitive person to answer, but last month he was expanding what the parser accepted in order to get everyone into the prediction pool. This made someone's software prediction show up as a hardware prediction. He then said to put software predictions in "quote" tags to prevent that from happening.
 

capslock

Is jealous of Matlock's emoticon
[NDS] 499,000
[WII] 369,000
[PSP] 239,000
[360] 219,000
[PS2] 199,000
[PS3] 109,000
[GBA] 99,000
[NGC] 9,000
 
donny2112 said:
Cheesemeister would be the definitive person to answer, but last month he was expanding what the parser accepted in order to get everyone into the prediction pool. This made someone's software prediction show up as a hardware prediction. He then said to put software predictions in "quote" tags to prevent that from happening.

Here's why we can't have nice things...

Speevy said:
PS3: 800,000 (Because the awesome showing at E3 retroactively affected sales)
PSP: 700,000 (Because the entire Wookie race bought one)
DS: 450,000
Wii: 375,000
PS2: 165,000
360: 140,000

Posts like this don't conform to the parser format, and will get you included in the List of Shame, even if the guesses might be read in. Of course, the PSP guess will be read as 700 million because of the letter K in Wookie.

Alkaliine said:
[NDS] 443k
[WII] 358k
[PSP] 236k
[PS2] 207k
[360] 186k
[PS3] 94k
[GBA] 73k
[NGC] 10k

For fun, here's some software guesses:

WII Play w/Remote 243k
WII Mario Party 8 213K
WII Resident Evil 4: Wii Edition 184K
NDS Pokemon Diamond 214K
WII Pokemon Battle Revolution 137K
360 Forza 2 159K
NDS Pokemon Pearl 163K
360 Guitar Hero 2 w/Guitar 111K
PS2 Tomb Raider: Anniversary 143K
WII Big Brain Academy: Wii Degree 103K
PS3 Ninja Gaiden Sigma 92k

If I don't turn off handling for non-conforming posts, posts like this will have their HW numbers screwed up. Wii would go from 358k to 243k to 213k to 184k to 137k to 103k, and so on. The better solution would be to have everyone conform.
 

donny2112

Member
Cheesemeister said:
Of course, the PSP guess will be read as 700 million because of the letter K in Wookie.

That's awesome and disturbing. :lol Can you limit the parser to only recognizing the first 'k' in the line?
 

donny2112

Member
Cheesemeister said:
The K in Wookie is the first K in the line.

Oops. Um, limit guesses to 10 million or less? However, then we're getting into modifying individual guesses. :/ If the parser goes 3 characters without another number or 'k', stop parsing that line? It would still have issues if the line started with 'k,' though.

[PS3] 500,000 Killzone 2 launched this month.
 
donny2112 said:
Oops. Um, limit guesses to 10 million or less? However, then we're getting into modifying individual guesses. :/ If the parser goes 3 characters without another number or 'k', stop parsing that line? It would still have issues if the line started with 'k,' though.

A better fix: only picking up the letter K if immediately following numbers. No spaces, no nothing.
 

donny2112

Member
Cheesemeister said:
A better fix: only picking up the letter K if immediately following numbers. No spaces, no nothing.

I thought there was someone who predicted with a space between the number and the 'k.' That solution would be fine for me, though. Also, I just noticed that your example valid format had a problem.

Cheesemeister said:
[GBA]12 3 Totakeke

Unless you were intending that to be 123,000. Your new idea would take care of it, though.
 
donny2112 said:
I thought there was someone who predicted with a space between the number and the 'k.' That solution would be fine for me, though. Also, I just noticed that your example valid format had a problem.

Unless you were intending that to be 123,000. Your new idea would take care of it, though.

The idea was for it to be 123,000. The example would have to be updated.
 
[NDS] 450K
[WII] 375K
[PSP] 280K
[PS2] 225K
[360] 170K
[PS3] 95K
[GBA] 90K
[NGC] 10K

The shittier releases PSP get, the higher the hardware goes up...
 

Stop It

Perfectly able to grasp the inherent value of the fishing game.
[NDS] 455k
[WII] 360k
[PSP] 201k
[PS2] 190k
[360] 169k
[PS3] 120k
[GBA] 76k
[NGC] 8k
 
[NDS] 495k
[WII] 390k
[PSP] 200k
[PS2] 160k
[360] 160k
[PS3] 105k ( Ubisoft won't discontinue game production yea! )
[GBA] 70k (sorry GBA, looks like you will never top the PS3 again....you had a good run)
[NGC] 9k
 

Diablos54

Member
[NDS] 435,000
[WII] 340,000
[PSP] 185,000
[PS2] 130,000
[360] 125,000
[PS3] 95,000
[GBA] 85,000
[NGC] 5,000
[XBX] 1,000
 

schuelma

Wastes hours checking old Famitsu software data, but that's why we love him.
[NDS] 480,000
[WII] 410,000
[PSP] 235,000
[360] 195,000
[PS2] 205,000
[PS3] 115,000
[GBA] 100,000
[NGC] 8,000


RE4- 160K, would have been higher but sold out of its shipment. Wii Play and Mario Party 8 also in the top 10, Harry Potter Wii just misses.
 

Cooter

Lacks the power of instantaneous movement
[NDS] 470,000
[WII] 360,000
[PSP] 210,000
[PS2] 170,000
[360] 190,000
[PS3] 95,000
[GBA] 75,000
[NGC] 7,000
[XBX] 2,000
 

jj984jj

He's a pretty swell guy in my books anyway.
5 weeks? Then I'll go with this.

[NDS] 550k
[WII] 380k
[PSP] 230k
[PS2] 200k
[360] 185k
[PS3] 110k
[GBA] 100k
[NGC] 10k
[XBX] N/A
 

Tideas

Banned
[NDS] 478,000
[WII] 315,000
[PSP] 284,000
[PS2] 168,000
[PS3] 114,000
[360] 112,000
[GBA] 81,000
[NGC] 6,000
 

NinSoX

Banned
[NDS] 485,000
[WII] 355,000
[PSP] 290,000
[PS2] 218,000
[360] 172,000
[PS3] 100,000
[GBA] 85,000
[NGC] 10,000

Tideas said:
[PS3] 114,000
[360] 112,000

I see some either love living in their own world or just don't bother using common sense or recent sales trends to base their guesses.
 
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