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Official September 2007 NPD Prediction Thread

Arsenal

Member
[360]450k
[GBA]85k
[NDS]550k
[PS2]260k
[PS3]150k
[PSP]335k
[WII]445k


360 should handily dominate the software charts.
 

Hcoregamer00

The 'H' stands for hentai.
GhaleonEB said:
Edit? Numbers can be revised up until the deadline. Anyways, just trying to help.

Yeah, but that wouldn't be in the spirit of Predicting, if my revision is constantly changed once people keep telling it is off for whatever reason.
 

Jiggy

Member
Kodiak said:
so raise your hand if you will enjoy NPD this month more than any game released this month.
If the month you're talking about is September, then... well, there were Neutopia II and Landstalker, but I guess those are technically old games.
If you mean enjoying September NPD more than October games, no.
 

Linkup

Member
[Wii] 510K
[DS] 420K
[360] 370K
[PSP] 320K
[PS2] 240K
[PS3] 170K
[GBA] 70K

360 HALO 3 1600K
360 MADDEN NFL 08 600K
360 PGR4 280K
PS2 MADDEN NFL 08 230K
WII PLAY W/ REMOTE 260K
WII MY SIMS 150K
360 SKATE 400K
WII BLEACH 150K
PS3 HEAVENLY SWORD 300K
WII METROID PRIME 3: CORRUPTION 250K
360 NHL 08 300k
DS ZELDA PHANTOM HOURGLASS 500K first time, no clue what I'm doing
 
When are we graced with his Majesty's numbers?

pachter.jpg
 

Gahiggidy

My aunt & uncle run a Mom & Pop store, "The Gamecube Hut", and sold 80k WiiU within minutes of opening.
Can some of you people explain how 360 gets to 500k and above. It was sub 200k just a couple months back.
 

apujanata

Member
[WII] 530K
[NDS] 475K
[360] 370K
[PSP] 250K
[PS2] 220K
[PS3] 120K
[GBA] 70K

Edit : Increase Nintendo & Microsoft #. No change to the ordinal rank.
 

KINGMOKU

Member
[360] 460,001
[GBA] 80,001
[NDS] 430,001
[PS2] 240,001
[PS3] 150,001
[PSP] 320,001
[WII] 460,001


I did good with this last month.


price is right has never let me down
 
[WII] 551,567 - 5 week month. Might surprise everyone. The might of Halo cannot overcome the power of waggle, touching and non-gamers.
[NDS] 474,129 - the usual.
[360] 387,942 - Halo 3 and some price cut residue.
[PSP] 365,118 - might surprise everyone a bit.
[PS2] 247,561 - slowing down slowly but surely.
[PS3] 132,438 - they're done.
[GBA] 85,055 - hemorrhaging faster than PS2 and on it's way to oblivion.





Reports of never before seen Wii supply coming in, it's obvious that Nintendo flooded the channel to take some wind off of Halo 3. Never dipped below the Amazon top 5 for most of the entire reporting period, even with Halo 3 slaughtering everyone else. Was even number one immediately after Halo 3 launched. Usually had a (approximately)two week cycle of being in the top 5 for two a week then back down to the top 10 the next. Alot of it's accessories also showed the same resurgence.

Price cut effects waning down on the the 360 but Halo 3 should tide the bleeding.
 
Gahiggidy said:
Can some of you people explain how 360 gets to 500k and above. It was sub 200k just a couple months back.
It sold 280k last month which was a 4 week period. So I think with the extra week plus Halo it should see a nice sized bump easily hitting 500k+.

Edit: Also, wasn't the Halo 3 console released this month?
 

donny2112

Member
Oblivion said:
DID I DO IT RIGHT THIS TIME, DONNY?!

:lol

GhaleonEB said:
Edit? Numbers can be revised up until the deadline.

Right. The parser runs at 4 p.m. Wednesday, so whatever you have predicted at that time is what matters. You can edit all you want up to that point, and it will count.

lix2k3 said:
{NDS] 450k

Please use a regular bracket instead of a curly one. :p

First Children said:
What happened to bunkum?

His sister got Wii Fit for Christmas.


[NDS] 500K
[WII] 430K
[360] 425K
[PSP] 260K
[PS2] 235K
[PS3] 135K
[GBA] 74K


I'll do software after we find out how the software predictions will work this month. I think Halo 3 might be number 1, though. Maybe.
 
The 360 won't be 500k but it'll be above 410k, either way you're screwed Odysseus. :lol
Ok I admit this is my first time and it's purely from the gut, no need for analytical shenanigans.

[WII] 501k
[DS] 550k
[360] 465k
[PSP] 370k
[PS2] 240k
[PS3] 140k
[GBA] 89k
 

hellclerk

Everything is tsundere to me
first time doing this. may as well throw in my 2 cents. numbers are approximate.

[NDS] 530k
[Wii] 450k
[360] 420k
[PS2] 250k
[PSP] 200k
[PS3] 160k
[GBA] 80k

1. [360] Halo 3 - 3.9 million
2. [PS2] Madden NFL 2008 - 620k
3. [Wii] Metroid Prime 3 - 500k
4. [360] Madden NFL 2008 - 480k
5. [NDS] Legend of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass - 290k
6. [360] Bioshock - 280k
7. [NDS] Brain Age 2 - 260k
8. [Wii] Wii Play w/ remote - 250k
9. [PS3] Madden NFL 2008 - 220k
10. [Wii] Mario Party 8 - 155k

software sales up big time. boosted mostly with Halo 3 sales, though other sales are increased due to early holiday shoppers. Wii sales up due to increase in supply to ramp up for the holiday season and to help counter Halo 3 sales. sales spurned by solid sales of brain age 2 and Phantom Hourglass, not to mention a separate SKU for the crimson/black color, bring the DS back to the top. 360 system sales also spurned by insane Halo sales and the prospect of the limited Halo edition 360 increase 360 sales significantly, but not enough to catch DS and Wii pre-holiday season sales.

in specific software sales, Metroid sees a very good month due to positive impressions and Wii consumer curiosity (expanded audience). 360 Madden and Bioshock sales see sharp drop during run-up to the launch of Halo 3, perhaps even further than i'm predicting. Phantom hourglass gets excellent numbers for the short time it's time on the list for the same reason as Metroid's successes. Brain Age 2 sees a larger resurgence for early holiday shoppers.

thats my story and i'm sticking to it.
 
doomed1 said:
first time doing this. may as well throw in my 2 cents. numbers are approximate.

[NDS] 530k
[Wii] 450k
[360] 420k
[PS2] 250k
[PSP] 200k
[PS3] 160k
[GBA] 80k

1. [360] Halo 3 - 3.9 million
2. [PS2] Madden NFL 2008 - 620k
3. [NDS] Flash Focus - 510k
4. [Wii] Metroid Prime 3 - 500k
5. [360] Madden NFL 2008 - 480k
6. [NDS] Legend of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass - 320k
7. [360] Bioshock - 280k
8. [Wii] Wii Play w/ remote - 250k
9. [PS3] Madden NFL 2008 - 220k
10. [Wii] Mario Party 8 - 155k

software sales up big time. boosted mostly with Halo 3 sales, though other sales are increased due to early holiday shoppers. Wii sales up due to increase in supply to ramp up for the holiday season and to help counter Halo 3 sales. sales spurned by solid sales of Flash Focus and Phantom Hourglass bring the DS back to the top. 360 system sales also spurned by insane Halo sales and the prospect of the limited Halo edition 360 increase 360 sales significantly, but not enough to catch DS and Wii pre-holiday season sales.

thats my story and i'm sticking to it.

Flash Focus release date is October 15, this is for September dude. Also it won't hit 500k, non games don't debut at high numbers. Oh and how is MP3 going to hit 500k when it debuted at 218k last month? There's following your gut and there's blind predictions, I think yours falls within the latter.
 

hellclerk

Everything is tsundere to me
BishopLamont said:
Flash Focus release date is October 15, this is for September dude. Also it won't hit 500k, non games don't debut at high numbers. Oh and how is MP3 going to hit 500k when it debuted at 218k last month? There's following your gut and there's blind predictions, I think yours falls within the latter.
yes, i know, edited for clarity.
 

Sharp

Member
I think the 360 could actually be above the DS and/or Wii this month. It's going to be a wild NPD thread. As usual, no official prediction though.
 
doomed1 said:
first time doing this. may as well throw in my 2 cents. numbers are approximate.

[NDS] 530k
[Wii] 450k
[360] 420k
[PS2] 250k
[PSP] 200k
[PS3] 160k
[GBA] 80k

1. [360] Halo 3 - 3.9 million
2. [PS2] Madden NFL 2008 - 620k
3. [Wii] Metroid Prime 3 - 500k
4. [360] Madden NFL 2008 - 480k
5. [NDS] Legend of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass - 290k
6. [360] Bioshock - 280k
7. [NDS] Brain Age 2 - 260k
8. [Wii] Wii Play w/ remote - 250k
9. [PS3] Madden NFL 2008 - 220k
10. [Wii] Mario Party 8 - 155k

software sales up big time. boosted mostly with Halo 3 sales, though other sales are increased due to early holiday shoppers. Wii sales up due to increase in supply to ramp up for the holiday season and to help counter Halo 3 sales. sales spurned by solid sales of brain age 2 and Phantom Hourglass, not to mention a separate SKU for the crimson/black color, bring the DS back to the top. 360 system sales also spurned by insane Halo sales and the prospect of the limited Halo edition 360 increase 360 sales significantly, but not enough to catch DS and Wii pre-holiday season sales.

in specific software sales, Metroid sees a very good month due to positive impressions and Wii consumer curiosity (expanded audience). 360 Madden and Bioshock sales see sharp drop during run-up to the launch of Halo 3, perhaps even further than i'm predicting. Phantom hourglass gets excellent numbers for the short time it's time on the list for the same reason as Metroid's successes. Brain Age 2 sees a larger resurgence for early holiday shoppers.

thats my story and i'm sticking to it.

If you predicted that Wii is up due to increased supply, shouldn't your figures be over 500k because September is a 5 week month?
 
doomed1 said:
1. [360] Halo 3 - 3.9 million
2. [PS2] Madden NFL 2008 - 620k
3. [Wii] Metroid Prime 3 - 500k
4. [360] Madden NFL 2008 - 480k
5. [NDS] Legend of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass - 290k
6. [360] Bioshock - 280k
7. [NDS] Brain Age 2 - 260k
8. [Wii] Wii Play w/ remote - 250k
9. [PS3] Madden NFL 2008 - 220k
10. [Wii] Mario Party 8 - 155k
As the original post says, you might want to put software stuff in a quote. WIth the brackets like that, it could try reading them as the final word on your hardware estimates.
titiklabingapat said:
I got the feeling that you're not the only one who failed to take that into account :p
Sure seems that way. If weekly sales were completely flat from last month, things would end up like

Wii: 504,500
GBA: 86,875
DS: 479,125
PS2: 252,500
PS3: 163,250
PSP: 189,000
X360: 345,875
 
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