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Wkd BO 05•05-07•17 - Baby Groot & fam show IRL Groot & fam who's Boss

DeathyBoy

Banned
Deadline is saying $10M on Monday for Guardians of the Galaxy vol 2.

So somewhere around $185M by the end of Thursday. A 57% drop this weekend would give it another $63M. So I'm guessing somewhere around $245-250M through its second weekend.

Suicide Squad was at $223M after its second weekend. Deadpool was at $237M

So 400 million is possible?
 
Deadline is saying $10M on Monday for Guardians of the Galaxy vol 2.

So somewhere around $185M by the end of Thursday. A 57% drop this weekend would give it another $63M. So I'm guessing somewhere around $245-250M through its second weekend.

Suicide Squad was at $223M after its second weekend. Deadpool was at $237M

That seems like pretty decent holds doesn't it for a superhero film in May?
 

AndersK

Member
So uh...King Arthur: Legend of the sword seems to be getting some reviews. 44 meta at 11 reviews. 9 % on rotten, 1 fresh 11 rotten, avg 4,24. Uh. Yikes.


Indiewire, C-
Part Game of Thrones, part Snatch, and almost all bad, Guy Ritchie's latest is one of those generic blockbusters that has nothing to say and no idea how to say it.

This is gonna bomb hard, huh?
 

Lima

Member
So uh...King Arthur: Legend of the sword seems to be getting some reviews. 44 meta at 11 reviews. 9 % on rotten, 1 fresh 11 rotten, avg 4,24. Uh. Yikes.

Not surprising at all. Every single trailer they released looked terrible.
 

Prompto

Banned
So uh...King Arthur: Legend of the sword seems to be getting some reviews. 44 meta at 11 reviews. 9 % on rotten, 1 fresh 11 rotten, avg 4,24. Uh. Yikes.
You can always tell a movie is going to be crap when the commercial for it uses random twitter quotes instead of quotes from critics.
 
There was a review after the advance screening that said at times it felt kinda like a Ritchie movie, but the editing job was so butchered it's practically incoherent.
 

Schlorgan

Member
Alien Covenant at 75% RT with 44 reviews.

Consensus:
"Alien: Covenant delivers another satisfying round of close-quarters deep-space terror, even if it doesn't take the saga in any new directions."
 

BumRush

Member
Alien Covenant at 75% RT with 44 reviews.

Consensus:
"Alien: Covenant delivers another satisfying round of close-quarters deep-space terror, even if it doesn't take the saga in any new directions."

Keep expectations down, Bum, keep expectations down...
 

kswiston

Member
That seems like pretty decent holds doesn't it for a superhero film in May?

Age of Ultron, Iron Man 3, and Civil War all dropped 52-54% in their second weekend if you subtract Thursday previews from weekend #1.

I think that my GotG2 prediction works out to 51% without previews, which would be marginally better than those other films. Since the film was less Front-loaded on Friday, I think that it's feasible.

If you were talking about Monday, it's a pretty standard Sun -> Mon drop.
 

Lima

Member
I don't disagree at all, i just thought Ritchie had something vaguely interesting up his sleeve. Maybe.

Hey I will still watch it because I've always enjoyed Ritchie movies, Uncle was a pretty fun movie, expectations are low.
 

ZeoVGM

Banned
So uh...King Arthur: Legend of the sword seems to be getting some reviews. 44 meta at 11 reviews. 9 % on rotten, 1 fresh 11 rotten, avg 4,24. Uh. Yikes.


Indiewire, C-


This is gonna bomb hard, huh?

I think everyone knew this. After three incredibly fun action flicks (Sherlock, Sherlock 2 and Man from U.N.C.L.E.) I guess he was due.

Just give me Sherlock 3 finally, please. After Aladdin, obviously.
 
So uh...King Arthur: Legend of the sword seems to be getting some reviews. 44 meta at 11 reviews. 9 % on rotten, 1 fresh 11 rotten, avg 4,24. Uh. Yikes.


Indiewire, C-


This is gonna bomb hard, huh?

Wasn't this the franchise they were planning on turning into a 5 film epic of some sort?

Chuck it into the bin with Power Rangers and Green Lantern I suppose.
 
King Arthur is starting to feel like one of those movies whose expectations crater so much in the last few days that it will actually be viewed as a success if it opens to $20M.
 
King Arthur is starting to feel like one of those movies whose expectations crater so much in the last few days that it will actually be viewed as a success if it opens to $20M.

King Arthur is prolly gonna get that Speed Racer/John Carter treatment around here on GAF.

LTTP: So King Arthur was really fricking good...come at me
 

kswiston

Member
Alien Covenant is out June 16th in China. One weekend before Transformers 5. I am sure that will go over well!


Power Rangers looks like it is going to tank in China. Opening day presales are currently sitting at $180k, about two days prior to the midnight premiere. I'm not sure what to expect based on that. Maybe $10-15M total in China? Either way, it looks like trokil will at least be right about GitS > Power Rangers in worldwide gross (ignoring the territory breakdowns).

Presales for King Arthur in China are even worse.

Speaking of, the Los Angeles Times is reporting a $175M budget for King Arthur. If that is remotely accurate, we are about to get a new challenger in the competition for bomb of the year!
 
Arthur went through multiple directors before Ritchie so the $175 may include those false starts as well.

The project seems like something WB gave to Ritchie and said, "The big stuff has already started rendering so don't change any of that. Do you want with the small stuff and, hey, maybe this will be good?"
 

X05

Upside, inside out he's livin la vida loca, He'll push and pull you down, livin la vida loca
In today's episode of Fun with Multipliers:
Code:
Name			| OW		| Mult	| Total		| GotG2 Total With Multiplier
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Iron Man		| 98,618,668	| 3.23	| 318,412,101	| 473,040,155 
The Incredible Hulk	| 55,414,050	| 2.43	| 134,806,913	| 356,418,180 
Iron Man 2		| 128,122,480	| 2.44	| 312,433,331	| 357,272,508 
Thor			| 65,723,338	| 2.75	| 181,030,624	| 403,552,472 
Captain America: TFA	| 65,058,524	| 2.72	| 176,654,505	| 397,821,351 
The Avengers		| 207,438,708	| 3.01	| 623,357,910	| 440,266,106 
Iron Man 3		| 174,144,585	| 2.35	| 409,013,994	| 344,108,792 
Thor: The Dark World	| 85,737,841	| 2.41	| 206,362,140	| 352,634,709 
Captain America: TWS	| 95,023,721	| 2.73	| 259,766,572	| 400,515,020 
Guardians of the Galaxy	| 94,320,883	| 3.53	| 333,176,600	| 517,528,428 
Avengers: Age of Ultron	| 191,271,109	| 2.40	| 459,005,868	| 351,589,939 
Ant-Man			| 57,225,526	| 3.15	| 180,202,163	| 461,357,710 
Captain America: CW	| 179,139,142	| 2.28	| 408,084,349	| 333,754,420 
Doctor Strange		| 85,058,311	| 2.74	| 232,641,920	| 400,717,949 
GotG Vol 2		| 146,510,104	| -	| -		| -

Given its OW, GotG Vol 2 would have to have the worst legs in the MCU to not pass the original so that's *very* unlikely. OK legs would place it at 350+M which I believe is the lower end for the totals.
GotG 1 legs ain't
probably
happening, but that is a nice number to look at.
Bonus: thus far, The Winter Soldier is the only MCU sequel with better legs than its predecesor.
 

Sulik2

Member
Wow, civil war had really bad legs...

I think its more that we are seeing a trend with the Marvel movies that people see them early in large droves. Big first few weeks with shorter legs, but averaging out to excellent overall domestic performance seems to be the trend.
 
Deadline is reporting $12M for Guardians 2, a 22% increase from yesterday. That's a much better increase than Civil War (3.5%) but lower than Beauty and the Beast (32%); $63-65M for the weekend is looking good.

Deadline also has tracking for this week's openers: $25M for King Arthur and "mid teens" for Snatched. Also, the latter's reviews aren't looking much better than the former's so far.
 

BumRush

Member
Deadline is reporting $12M for Guardians 2, a 22% increase from yesterday. That's a much better increase than Civil War (3.5%) but lower than Beauty and the Beast (32%); $63-65M for the weekend is looking good.

Deadline also has tracking for this week's openers: $25M for King Arthur and "mid teens" for Snatched. Also, the latter's reviews aren't looking much better than the former's so far.

Was the beauty and the beast 1st full week Spring Break?
 
Was the beauty and the beast 1st full week Spring Break?
Kind of sort of. Spring Break isn't well-defined, with different regions of the country and different levels of education having it at at different times. The highest percentage of schools have the week of Good Friday off.

Here's what Deadline said the week Beauty and the Beast opened:

We were seeing lofty mid-day figures for Lego Batman a while ago on its first Friday afternoon, but the two things working in Beauty‘s favor are 26% K-12 schools off today with another 39% college, plus it's a beloved generational legacy brand.

for its first Monday

Beauty is playing in a marketplace that's even more limited, with only 11% K-12 and 15% colleges were off per ComScore

And here is when Fate of the Furious opened

Again, F8, like F7 benefits from Easter holiday business with 74% of all K-12 schools off on Good Friday as well as a third of the nation's colleges.
 

Schlorgan

Member
F8 is only about $20m behind BatB worldwide and they came out a month apart. BatB did way better domestically (more than double) but that quick jump in overseas numbers for F8 is really impressive.

Do we think that F8 will hit $400m in China? It's at $383m now.
 

AndersK

Member
Actuals are in for Vol 2 now: 12.1 million buckaroos, up roughly 23 % from Monday. People who love stat-keeping more than me, tell me its tied for best MCU first tuesday increase, with Dr. Strange.

Some of that is probably due to increasing popularity of Tuesday showings. Civil War had 3,5 %.
 
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