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[MechDX]

The new 12Z GFS model rolling out now looks bad.

Makes landfall as a tropical storm Friday night, loops around for several days and now its heading back onto the coast 4 days later....Moving very slowly.

Up to 47 inches in places.

Hopefully this model is wrong.

4 feet of rain. good god. I hope thats wrong.

No chance in hell that is right

 

[jmdajr]

The new 12Z GFS model rolling out now looks bad.

Makes landfall as a tropical storm Friday night, loops around for several days and now its heading back onto the coast 4 days later....Moving very slowly.

Up to 47 inches in places.

Hopefully this model is wrong.

wtf is that a mistake?

edit:
Greatest rainfall in 24 hours
The biggest rainfall in a day occurred with the passage of Cyclone Denise in Foc-Foc, La Réunion, an island in the southern Indian Ocean. Some 1.825 meters (71.8 inches) of rain fell over 24 hours, from January 7 to 8, 1966.

 

[maabus1999]

First off this is a model but fairly accurate one of late and secondly this is from the storm staying over Texas for multiple days not really moving

I will also add that no matter what this will be one of the most intense rain events in Texas history from looking at several models and remember there is no FEMA leadership currently

 

[Skellig Gra]

If you really want to go out of the way, go north to Shreveport and then head southwest to Austin or due west to DFW and down I35 to Austin. Of course you are prob going to give yourself a 12+ hour drive since that's a super inefficient route. Plus it doesn't guarantee you will miss this mess anyways.

Thanks I guess I'll just to make that call once we know more

 

[Raven117]

Saw this come in on another site all I can say is this is biblical and hope it doesn't verify

47 inches? Please.

We better be on the ark if that happens.

 

[maquiladora]

wtf is that a mistake?

It's what the model is showing. The model could be totally wrong though.

 

[jmdajr]

It's what the model is showing. The model could be totally wrong though.

so that's over 4 days?

at least Trump won Texas. Maybe the asshole would help us.

 

[captive]

First off this is a model but fairly accurate one of late and secondly this is from the storm staying over Texas for multiple days not really moving

I will also add that no matter what this will be one of the most intense rain events in Texas history from looking at several models and remember there is no FEMA leadership currently

this is what allison did. Just hovered over the area and dropped rain.

 

[maquiladora]

so that's over 4 days?

at least Trump won Texas. Maybe the asshole would help us.

That is over 162 hours.

It's very slow moving:

It's only one model. Could be way off.

 

[Draconestra]

What do I do to keep my car safe from flooding? If it's anything like the flood back in, I don't know, 2003? My neighborhood got flooded bad and I think my dad's car at the time barely made it.

 

[jmdajr]

At least almost all the Houston Creeks are at 0.00 rainfall and sorta empty. I mean I think.

The few in my area seemed pretty empty.

edit: Car in your street is bad news. Best bet is in the garage, but that's if your house has some sort of decent elevation.

Most people don't even put their cars in the garage because they are full of shit!

 

[The Broken Ska Record]

Man, Houston's going to get pounded. And my sister lives in Cypress.

 

[MechDX]

so that's over 4 days?

at least Trump won Texas. Maybe the asshole would help us.

lol no. I dont think he has even nominated a head of FEMA yet.

 

[jmdajr]

Here is random flood gauge from Cypress currently.

edit: Nobody even at FEMA! Lmao.

"Doing a heck of a job!"

 

[HStallion]

Wow didn't realize this storm was being predicted to be so damn crazy.

 

[Raven117]

lol no. I dont think he has even nominated a head of FEMA yet.

We don't need no FEMA.

 

[Kthulhu]

I hope all my utilities stay intact. I'm cool with being stuck at home provided I'm not bored to tears.

 

[TheLostBigBoss]

lol no. I dont think he has even nominated a head of FEMA yet.

I think FEMA director has been filled for a few months now

 

[Dan-o]

The new 12Z GFS model rolling out now looks bad.

Makes landfall as a tropical storm Friday night, loops around for several days and now its heading back onto the coast 4 days later....Moving very slowly.

Up to 47 inches in places.

Hopefully this model is wrong.

Do you have a link to where this image originated from?

http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=GFS

Thanks!

 

[maquiladora]

Do you have a link to where this image originated from?

http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=GFS

 

[Draconestra]

edit: Car in your street is bad news. Best bet is in the garage, but that's if your house has some sort of decent elevation.

Most people don't even put their cars in the garage because they are full of shit!

Nah, every time it we get flood warnings out here I make sure my car is not parked in the street.

Unfortunately we don't have a garage, never really needed one tbh, but I don't know how elevated our property is.

I swear, if this flood fucks me over I'm gonna be mad 😂

 

[jmdajr]

Someone was asking about Addicks. I don't know man!

 

[BasilZero]

Just when I thought I will spend a nice relaxing weekend, I find this out.

It's gonna suck when the electricity goes out AGAIN

Houston here 😡

 

[mid83]

I wouldn't freak out over one model. Now if all the models start to trend up from the current predictions of around 10 inches (with pockets of 15+), then it's time to be more concerned.

 

[OrionX]

Y'all are beginning to worry me a bit. Well, at least I'm a really good swimmer.

 

[2002whitegt]

I really do hope the predictions aren't right because if the storm lingers it could be really bad. Feel bad for the neighborhood behind my parent's. They've had flooding in 2015, 2016 and possibly again this year.

Would suck to have to remodel again for 3 straight years.

 

[dskillzhtown]

The new 12Z GFS model rolling out now looks bad.

Makes landfall as a tropical storm Friday night, loops around for several days and now its heading back onto the coast 4 days later....Moving very slowly.

Up to 47 inches in places.

Hopefully this model is wrong.

That sounds alot like Allison.

 

[perfectchaos007]

The new 12Z GFS model rolling out now looks bad.

Makes landfall as a tropical storm Friday night, loops around for several days and now its heading back onto the coast 4 days later....Moving very slowly.

Up to 47 inches in places.

Hopefully this model is wrong.

Hopefully whataburger stays open

 

[MechDX]

Hopefully whataburger stays open

#Priorities

#SaveUsDega

 

[perfectchaos007]

#Priorities

#SaveUsDega

I work in the same town Dega is from. I can help too.

 

[Dega]

I work in the same town Dega is from. I can help too.

I'll get the burgers and fries you get the drinks.

 

[perfectchaos007]

I'll get the burgers and fries you get the drinks.

I got u fam. large Buc-ees fountain drinks are 69 cents now

 

[maabus1999]

I wouldn't freak out over one model. Now if all the models start to trend up from the current predictions of around 10 inches (with pockets of 15+), then it's time to be more concerned.

12Z UKMET just parked the Low over the Houston area for ~3 days. Waiting on the Euro next.

 

[BasilZero]

Y'all are beginning to worry me a bit. Well, at least I'm a really good swimmer.

That doesn't help me since I can't swim 😑

 

[pokeystaples]

My wife worked a 15 hour yesterday and ended up hitting the Kroger for waters at like 3 am. Said she got the last big bottles. Hopefully yall have picked up water and whatnot. I live in an area of Houston prone to flooding and power loss. Should be an AWESOME weekend.

 

[captive]

Hopefully whataburger stays open

cue the cast away what a burger meme

I got u fam. large Buc-ees fountain drinks are 69 cents now

that has to be a loss leader.


In line for checkout, got the Julio chips and already have Pico and queso at home.

 

[The_Inquisitor]

Looks like dallas is only forecasting 2 inches of rain right now. Curious to see if that will tick upwards.

 

[cr0w]

My wife worked a 15 hour yesterday and ended up hitting the Kroger for waters at like 3 am. Said she got the last big bottles. Hopefully yall have picked up water and whatnot. I live in an area of Houston prone to flooding and power loss. Should be an AWESOME weekend.

Kemah Wal-Mart was about half out of water when I went around lunchtime. I stocked up on essentials. Business seems to be picking up.

 

[maabus1999]

Euro model is coming out, already predicting a much stronger storm in line with other models now. Out through 48 hours, should have the rest in 20 minutes.

 

[NH Apache]

We should add LA gaf to the title as well because we gonna get it pretty bad as well, even after it moves out of Texas.

 

[Akiraptor]

That sounds alot like Allison.

This could easily end up being a more destructive version of Allison. It's too early to tell, but the model projections to draw a lot of parallels.

 

[HStallion]

Hopefully whataburger stays open

Whether Waffle House is open or not is the real indicator of how bad things are.

 

[perfectchaos007]

Whether Waffle House is open or not is the real indicator of how bad things are.

No Waffle Houses in my neck of the woods. There may be one in Pearland but thats 40 minutes away from me. We have IHOP though

 

[Zeke]

I'll get the burgers and fries you get the drinks.

Swing by San Antonio pls. Forecast looks alright here might be some light flooding but it doesn't look too bad.

 

[TheWorthyEdge]

I'm in Spring but northern Houston is known for getting it's fair share of storms and tornadoes after a nearby hurricane.

I'm more concerned about missing work due to flooding or storms. I know certain companies will let you skip a payment due to emergencies like a hurricane, but last time I tried that it was really difficult. (Toyota financial and Sallie Mae specifically)

Ayy from Spring! Same. Up in Dallas currently, hope the family is prepared. Hopefully it isn't much...

 

[metalslimer]

Medical center houston here...i'm stuck here

 

[Zeke]

cue the cast away what a burger meme

that has to be a loss leader.


In line for checkout, got the Julio chips and already have Pico and queso at home.

But did you get the julios salsa?

 

[captive]

But did you get the julios salsa?

we roll with Pace usually.

though my mom did show me mix HEBs pico with julios salsa, that shit is fantastic.

 

[maquiladora]

Latest Euro model is still rolling out but so far it starts off quite similar to the most recent GFS model posted earlier. Makes landfall in South Texas, moves inland slowly, doesn't really weaken at all, then turns back towards the coast where it first made landfall.

By Tuesday it's back over open waters in the Gulf and strengthening...

 

[hikarutilmitt]

If anyone from Houston is coming through San Antonio can you grab me like 5 orders of dumplings from Lai Lai Dumpling House on Bellaire? I'll give you shelter.