All within the MoE. Clintons biggest concern should not be the day to day swings, but the fact that they are essentially tied. The fact that There is a huge enthusiasm gap combined with the fact that there is literally nothing Trump can do to lose his base of support should be worrisome.
Trump's base is locked in and he won't drop below it, Hillary is just waiting for the next scandal to drop.
Can anyone tell me what situation could happen to Donald to possibly lead to Hilllary running away with the election? On the flip side, think about what can happen to Hillary to do the same. This is what should worry all of the Hillary is ok folks.
It could also be said that all the major humps are now likely behind for Clinton, whereas there is still a truckton of skeletons waiting in line in the closet for Trump:
- Trump U lawsuit
- Trump rape accusations (a 3rd one just came out)
- Trump lawsuits that were settled on/ lost, including hiring illegal polish workers
- Trump taxes
- Racially charged behaviors/ business activities (housing/ hiring discrimination...)
- Using bankrupcy/ defaulting on paying contractors and others providers, bullying smaller companies all the way into closing in some cases
- Long history of misoginy, the latest example in defending Roger Ailes from Fox News Corp.
The guy has been involved in more than 4000 lawsuits.
... and now a possible involvement of Russia in the election to favor him
And all that not counting the treasure chest of his public declarations, ranging from pure xenophobia (e.g. the Judge of hispanic decent) to international security insanity (letting Nato allies fend for themselves).