There's no evidence there's any sort of JRPG audience on the Wii U
This will be outsold by #FE and neither will do that well
I have no idea what it'll do:
- Xenoblade is a
very beloved game amongst the audience who bought it
- New 3DS version of the original expands the audience
- Shulk was in Smash brothers so people are familiar with the series who may not have been
- We don't know what the sales were in Europe/US for this game over the long haul, and it seems like a lot of people pirated the first game as well.
- Since there's been no big new JRPGs yet on PS4/XB1 (unless you count Bloodborne, which I'd say is a different genre), this is probably the best looking game of its type out there right now.
- This game has a lot more hype coming in and the English version will probably be featured at E3 heavily.
- Nintendo fans typically do like JRPGs and Nintendo's series like Fire Emblem, Zelda, Pokemon, Mario & Luigi, etc all have fanbases that should be open to buying this game.
The downside is the Wii U's install base, plus people thinking they might pull support soon for NX. On the other hand, Wii U's sales were pretty good compared to what it's been doing before in February, nearing 100k in the US.