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[Smiley90]

Exit polls are notoriously unreliable.

Plus, early voting.

 

[jiggle]

Exit polls are notoriously unreliable.

2004 still hurts :'<

 

[Black Mamba]

Oh Shit. Unskewedpolls just reskewed himself a bit. No longer predicting landslide. hahaha

His new map. I guess he didn't want to be seen as a moron. Now if he loses it is with dignity.

 

[rodvik]

probably fake. i doubt drudge would take the time out of his day to post pro-republican/anti-democrat links in the off-topic section of a video game message board on the internet.

 

[PhoenixDark]

Ohio's strong dem areas didn't do well in EV. I really don't see how Obama wins

 

[Link]

Yeah, the lack of accountability is sad. Even Rachel Maddow said Romney could win tomorrow on tonight's show. Have a little humility.

But nope . . . balls to the wall in confident prediction. And if they are all wrong, they'll just act as if it is all someone else's fault . . . illegals voting, Sandy, ACORN, etc.

I'm really weighing if I want to watch Fox News after the election is called. On one hand, the salty tears could be delicious. On the other hand, they'll probably instantly jump to all the excuses mentioned and make me want to punch a wall.

 

[Officerrob]

Oh Shit. Unskewedpolls just reskewed himself a bit. No longer predicting landslide. hahaha

His new map. I guess he didn't want to be seen as a moron. Now if he loses it is with dignity.

Isn't that as shift of like 100 electoral votes? lol

 

[JCreasy]

So many good polls for Obama

I think I can go to sleep.

Need more though.

Soothe me GAF

 

[ClovingWestbrook]

Oh Shit. Unskewedpolls just reskewed himself a bit. No longer predicting landslide. hahaha

His new map. I guess he didn't want to be seen as a moron. Now if he loses it is with dignity.

Lol

 

[pigeon]

Oh Shit. Unskewedpolls just reskewed himself a bit. No longer predicting landslide. hahaha

His new map. I guess he didn't want to be seen as a moron. Now if he loses it is with dignity.

You know you're losing when even the complete wingnuts only think you might win.

 

[AniHawk]

Oh Shit. Unskewedpolls just reskewed himself a bit. No longer predicting landslide. hahaha

His new map. I guess he didn't want to be seen as a moron. Now if he loses it is with dignity.

phoenixdark was dean chambers the whole time.

 

[eBay Huckster]

Ohio's strong dem areas didn't do well in EV. I really don't see how Obama wins

would you just lose the av bet with dignity

 

[Officerrob]

phoenixdark was dean chambers the whole time.

Dean Chambers has been more entertaining

 

[Socreges]

Honestly amazed by everyone's confidence in here. I'm not even American and I'm still too pessimistic to get ahead of myself. And yes, I do understand how everyone has good reason to be certain. I just am not able to rule out some kind of freak coincidence.

Exit polls are notoriously unreliable.

Exit polling is going to be a complete mess this year with 40% of the vote already in because of early voting.

Fair enough. Will have to be patient then.

 

[Black Mamba]

The Ohio EV numbers are misleading. There were a lot less EV hours this year than 4 years ago thanks to Husted. But this will translate to higher ED turnout.

http://unskewedpolls.com/unskewed_projection_2012 president_03.cfm

The article for his projection, btw.

Also, I vote that should Obama win, PD cannot take part in any celebration. That is his punishment for this bullshit trolling.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Those OH EV numbers by country make me nervous. Big drops in Franklin country, which Obama won by 100k in 2008. And drop in Cuyahoga country which Obama won by 245k in 2008.

Sigh...

 

[el retorno]

I'm nervous guys.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

The Ohio EV numbers are misleading. There were a lot less EV hours this year than 4 years ago thanks to Husted. But this will translate to higher ED turnout.

Let us hope so.

 

[speculawyer]

Oh Shit. Unskewedpolls just reskewed himself a bit. No longer predicting landslide. hahaha

http://unskewedpolls.com/map_final_2012.gif

His new map. I guess he didn't want to be seen as a moron. Now if he loses it is with dignity.

WTF happened? Do you have the old map? Did he just change like 6+ states from red to blue?

 

[markatisu]

Those OH EV numbers by country make me nervous. Big drops in Franklin country, which Obama won by 100k in 2008. And drop in Cuyahoga country which Obama won by 245k in 2008.

Sigh...

You really did not even take what was just said in the post above you into account LOL

 

[JCreasy]

The Ohio EV numbers are misleading. There were a lot less EV hours this year than 4 years ago thanks to Husted. But this will translate to higher ED turnout.

http://unskewedpolls.com/unskewed_projection_2012 president_03.cfm

The article for his projection, btw.

Also, I vote that should Obama win, PD cannot take part in any celebration. That is his punishment for this bullshit trolling.

THANK YOU

This is like warm chicken soup for my soul.

More soothing GAF, please

 

[AppleMIX]

I can't wait for tomorrow. The tears will be delicious.

 

[Black Mamba]

Those OH EV numbers by country make me nervous. Big drops in Franklin country, which Obama won by 100k in 2008. And drop in Cuyahoga country which Obama won by 245k in 2008.

Sigh...

Again, EV hours were shorter. I don't know why people even pay attention to the EV vote as if it means anything.

Why does it matter when someone votes? It's not like EV votes count as 1.2 ED votes.

Counties change demographics over 4 years. There were less voting hours. People maybe want to vote more on election day since they were busy, perhaps paying attention to the storm. Etc.

 

[Link]

Personally, I'm hoping Florida pulls out a win for Obama, effectively making Ohio moot.

 

[Officerrob]

WTF happened? Do you have the old map? Did he just change like 6+ states from red to blue?

This one from November 1st was 311-227

http://www.examiner.com/article/mit...ictory-indicated-by-latest-polls?CID=obinsite

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Again, EV hours were shorter. I don't know why people even pay attention to the EV vote as if it means anything.

Why does it matter when someone votes? It's not like EV votes count as 1.2 ED votes.

Counties change demographics over 4 years. There were less voting hours. People maybe want to vote more on election day since they were busy, perhaps paying attention to the storm. Etc.

I was to see pictures of long ass fucking lines in these counties

 

[ClovingWestbrook]

The Ohio EV numbers are misleading. There were a lot less EV hours this year than 4 years ago thanks to Husted. But this will translate to higher ED turnout.

http://unskewedpolls.com/unskewed_projection_2012 president_03.cfm

The article for his projection, btw.

Also, I vote that should Obama win, PD cannot take part in any celebration. That is his punishment for this bullshit trolling.

I'd go further, he shouldnt be allowed to post in PoliGAF for 2 weeks.

 

[Socreges]

Will network FOX be using a FOX News feed tomorrow night? Or would they be jumping back and forth, at best? If not, I'll have to order the 'news bundle'.

 

[kingkitty]

damn, the Dean Chambers prediction was my favorite :/

 

[Aaron Strife]

Also, I vote that should Obama win, PD cannot take part in any celebration. That is his punishment for this bullshit trolling.

"Obama won? Bad news for Obama"

 

[watershed]

Man I would love to see Florida stay blue, it would just make the electoral map that much prettier in an Obama victory.

 

[PhoenixDark]

Btw Ted Frank, the conservative Nate Silver highlighted as making the best case Romney can win, just changed his forecast (which was previously 60-40 Obama)
https://mobile.twitter.com/tedfrank/status/265711944193933312

 

[eBay Huckster]

i hate to reuse thread title setpieces, but

PoliGAF 2012 |OT6| Bad News for PD

 

[Black Mamba]

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2955549/posts

bwahahaha. These guys are literally projecting based on the returns for Dixville Notch.

Oh god.

 

[Officerrob]

Btw Ted Frank, the conservative Nate Silver highlighted as making the best case Romney can win, just changed his forecast (which was previously 60-40 Obama)
https://mobile.twitter.com/tedfrank/status/265711944193933312

Bad news for............you

 

[Hazmat]

Tick tock, Mitt.

 

[rodvik]

Oh Shit. Unskewedpolls just reskewed himself a bit. No longer predicting landslide. hahaha

His new map. I guess he didn't want to be seen as a moron. Now if he loses it is with dignity.

For reference, 3 weeks ago.

 

[ClovingWestbrook]

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2955549/posts

bwahahaha. These guys are literally projecting based on the returns for Dixville Notch.

Oh god.

...

 

[JCreasy]

Btw Ted Frank, the conservative Nate Silver highlighted as making the best case Romney can win, just changed his forecast (which was previously 60-40 Obama)
https://mobile.twitter.com/tedfrank/status/265711944193933312

Yeessss

Moar

 

[SmokeMaxX]

Oh Shit. Unskewedpolls just reskewed himself a bit. No longer predicting landslide. hahaha

His new map. I guess he didn't want to be seen as a moron. Now if he loses it is with dignity.

Funny thing about his map? He has Obama losing CO, OH, AND VA. Obama is at least 80% in all three and only needs ONE to win.

 

[Officerrob]

For reference, 3 weeks ago.

But Romney has momentum!

 

[Black Mamba]

Nate Silver &#8207;@fivethirtyeight
@Redistrict: Counties went 53.9% for Obama weighted based on '08 early vote, 53.0% for Obama based on '12 totals. Not a big difference.

@Redistrict: What we know for sure is that Dem counties turned out a higher share of their voters early than GOP counties.

Nate Silver &#8207;@fivethirtyeight
@Redistrict: But seems like there is less of a drop-off in OH than other states, consistent with Obama's polls holding up better there.

Nate Silver &#8207;@fivethirtyeight
@Redistrict @ElectProject: Other issue is that I think state's spreadsheet may lag behind Cuyahoga County's reporting.

Nate Silver &#8207;@fivethirtyeight
@Redistrict @ElectProject: Cuyahoga now says 250K mail ballots + 50K in-person. State says 250K total. But I may be missing something.

It's like he reads GAF.

 

[The Librarian]

Those OH EV numbers by country make me nervous. Big drops in Franklin country, which Obama won by 100k in 2008. And drop in Cuyahoga country which Obama won by 245k in 2008.

Sigh...

Really? Something makes you nervous? Why, I never would have thought of such a thing ever happening!

 

[pigeon]

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2955549/posts

bwahahaha. These guys are literally projecting based on the returns for Dixville Notch.

Oh god.

And the best part is they don't seem to know that 2008 was the first time they went for a Democrat since they started counting. They're all calling it a deep blue twn.

 

[Measley]

Ohio's strong dem areas didn't do well in EV. I really don't see how Obama wins

Nate Silver has Ohio as "safe Obama".

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

 

[el retorno]

Btw Ted Frank, the conservative Nate Silver highlighted as making the best case Romney can win, just changed his forecast (which was previously 60-40 Obama)
https://mobile.twitter.com/tedfrank/status/265711944193933312

That makes me feel better.

 

[ISOM]

It's like he reads GAF.

sogood.gif

damn this thread is not gonna make me sleep and I live on the east coast.

 

[Clevinger]

It's like he reads GAF.

Nate's getting nervous

 

[pigeon]

Bad news for............you

This killed me for some reason. I probably need some sleep.

 

[BuggyDClown]

Guy next to me in lin for Halo 4 is bitching to his buddy about his boss sending him and all other employees a letter basically demanding they vote Romney.

Smh