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PolliGaf 2012 |OT5| Big Bird, Binders, Bayonets, Bad News and Benghazi

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A

Anticitizen One

Banned
ezekial45 said:
I wonder what's next for Nate Silver after this? Granted that he's right on the money for Obama's projections, then he could be moving on up.
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All of his projections are based off common sense. I really don't see him making any bold predictions that anybody who follows politics can't guess on their own
 
H

hydragonwarrior

Member
Black Mamba said:
Obama drops to 92.0% on 538.

EVERYBODY PANIC!!!
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DID SOMEOEN SAY PANIC!?!?

But yeah, I think after this election is over tommorow, I'm probably going to re-read this thread and the last and see the huge roller coaster of "Obama is kicking ass! Yes!" to the first debate "OMG Obama might lose!" and then back to the present.

Hoping for an awesome result tommorow!
 
H

Hunter S.

Member
border said:
If you include mixed race, the white majority is supposed to end in 2050. I hope I live longer than that, but given my current age and poor habits, maybe not :)

Doesn't mean it won't start to have a big effect on elections sooner than that though.
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I argued this point on another forum. Th e way you word it makes you sound racist.
 
T

Tendo

Member
littleworm said:
Man, I'm so fucking anxious right now, in about 24 hours time its gonna be all over. So much to do tomorrow, going for 12 hours, then I get to sit in my room and watch how it all turns out.
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Sorry I can't make it down there today. If it wasn't for my conference Thursday and Friday I'd have taken off to be there. Keep fighting the good fight. Be safe and bring it home man. It is an awesome thing you are doing. Wish I could be there too :(
 
B

BuggyDClown

Member
ZP65I.jpg
 
H

harSon

Banned
Just finished my ballot. I've been too lazy to fill it out before now. The polling place is literally at the elementary school across the street from my house, a mere 30 second walk, so I've never really had a reason to mail it in.
 
C

CygnusXS

will gain confidence one day
So Virginia will probably get called early on tomorrow right? That's really all we need for Obama to win at this point, so it should be an early night.
 
P

Puddles

Banned
AlteredBeast said:
I have never seen a group of grown men get all giddy at any politician like you guys do over President Obama.
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Meh. I honestly think some of his economic policies suck, and he's been a big disappointment in several other areas. I'm no Obama fanboy. I just really despise most of the current GOP for a number of reasons (their attitude on healthcare, the debt ceiling, Fox News, etc).
 
Link

Link

The Autumn Wind
Ah, more "We've got the enthusiasm" talk from the Romney camp. Delicious.

On another note, I wish there was a way to see an alternate universe where Romney wins. I'd love to see how that would go. Where's Walter Bishop when you need him?
 
P

Puddles

Banned
PhoenixDark said:
It'll happen to a degree. Obama is popular because he electrifies so many demographics - blacks, Hispanics, young people, and older liberals mainly. George W Bush electrified many conservative demographics: religious right and war hawks/military. But so far they don't really have a candidate who unifies all the groups (including fiscal conservatives) while also galvanizing the younger conservatives. I think it'll happen eventually, just not to the level Obama has shown. I think it's safe to say he's a political phenomenon unseen since Reagan.
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There aren't that many younger conservatives, and a lot of the ones they have are more libertarian than GOP.
 
D

dabig2

Member
IrishNinja said:
just checked 538...is FL really looking to go blue?

please say yes
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It's at the definition of a toss-up right now. Though from what people on here seem to imply, it's around AZ level of red, which has never been the case.

Florida going blue this election, again. Get hyped!
 
H

HylianTom

Banned
NullPointer said:
Numbers already?

This is disturbing my plans.
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Aww.. nothing to worry about. Just a few small New Hampshire towns getting their little blip of quadrennial spotlight, as is custom.

Oblivion said:
Guh? What are these numbers?
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New Hampshire law allows towns with fewer than 100 residents to open the polls at midnight and close them as soon as all registered voters have cast their ballots.[11] Hart's Location is, along with Dixville Notch, one of two New Hampshire communities where the first votes are cast in the Democratic and Republican New Hampshire primaries, the first presidential primaries in the United States during each presidential election year. The Hart's Location midnight voting tradition, which began in 1948, actually predates the more widely-known Dixville Notch practice; however, Dixville Notch generally receives greater publicity because Hart's Location discontinued the practice in 1964,[1] only to reinstate it in 1996.

The community's voting tradition received a nod in the 2002 third season episode of US television program The West Wing, in an episode entitled "Hartsfield's Landing", named after a town clearly modeled on either Hart's Location, or its companion, Dixville Notch.
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hart's_Location,_New_Hampshire
 
S

speculawyer

Member
CygnusXS said:
So Virginia will probably get called early on tomorrow right? That's really all we need for Obama to win at this point, so it should be an early night.
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Ohio is more likely the state that will end this pretty early. Virginia may end up too close to call but if Ohio comes through as the polls indicate with a small but solid lead for Obama, that effectively ends the election.
 
T

thepotatoman

Unconfirmed Member
PhoenixDark said:
It'll happen to a degree. Obama is popular because he electrifies so many demographics - blacks, Hispanics, young people, and older liberals mainly. George W Bush electrified many conservative demographics: religious right and war hawks/military. But so far they don't really have a candidate who unifies all the groups (including fiscal conservatives) while also galvanizing the younger conservatives. I think it'll happen eventually, just not to the level Obama has shown. I think it's safe to say he's a political phenomenon unseen since Reagan.
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It will never be possible for anyone to unite all republicans together when you have the states rights people and the religous anti gay marriage/abortion/marijuana people in the same party, and the military war hawks, tax cuters, and debt doomsayers all in the same party. And a lot of the stuff you'd think the party might agree upon is just straight up unliked by basically everybody, like spending cuts on social security and medicare. Even their hatred of "obamacare" backfired at that AARP rally.

I don't know how that party has stuck together like this for so long.
 
C

CoffeeJanitor

Member
Saw one of my friends making the "Gays shouldn't get married because of natural selection. Marriage is there so that there is more genetic diversity" argument on FB.

So I laid the smackdown on him with logic and empathy. Of course I got no response from him and he's giving me the silent treatment now. As if I should feel bad for him because people think it's wrong that he's trying to obstruct others' rights.
 
C

CygnusXS

will gain confidence one day
speculawyer said:
Ohio is more likely the state that will end this pretty early. Virginia may end up too close to call but if Ohio comes through as the polls indicate with a small but solid lead for Obama, that effectively ends the election.
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I don't know though. I'd personally rather bet on the state that isn't run by Jon Husted to get its ballots counted first.
 
S

Smiley90

Stop shitting on my team. Start shitting on my finger.
You know what'd be hilarious? if one of those "10 vote/early results" counties had a write-in candidate. Or someone REALLY funny. Like "Mike Tyson" or so.
 
R

rohlfinator

Member
thepotatoman said:
It will never be possible for anyone to unite all republicans together when you have the states rights people and the religous anti gay marriage/abortion/marijuana people in the same party, and the military war hawks, tax cuters, and debt doomsayers all in the same party. And a lot of the stuff you'd think the party might agree upon is just straight up unliked by basically everybody, like spending cuts on social security and medicare. Even their hatred of "obamacare" backfired at that AARP rally.

I don't know how that party has stuck together like this for so long.
Click to expand...

It's easy for people to ignore the parts they don't like in favor of the parts they do, especially on wedge social issues. It happens on the Democratic side as well, though maybe to a lesser extent. Like how a lot of the black community isn't very favorable to gay marriage but vote D anyway.
 
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